Marine Le Pen appeal verdict: Why this moment matters for France

Acquittal: If Le Pen is acquitted, she will be clear to run for the presidency with her reputation intact. This verdict is seen as unlikely.

Guilty: If the court finds her guilty and bars her from office for more than two years (from 31 March 2025), she will not be able to stand. That is because the clock has continued ticking since the five-year ban on public office was handed down.

Guilty with reduced ban: It would be a different story if she were handed a ban on public office of two years or less as she would then be free to run.

Guilty with electronic tag: If the court follows the recommendation of prosecutors and the four-year jail term remains, she would face one year with an electronic tag, rather than two, with the rest suspended. That is why she has set out her stall ahead of the verdict: "When you are a presidential candidate you must be completely free to move about… I can't rely on a judge to allow me to hold a rally or go to a market."

Appealing against the appeal: She could still challenge a guilty verdict at France's top court, the Court of Cassation - and she would have 10 days to decide. But that would still take several months and hold her back from campaigning - and she has indicated she would not do so.

Even if she is cleared, prosecutors might decide to go to the top court.